Edexcel · GCSE Maths · 1MA1 · Foundation and Higher

M39 · Sampling and interpreting data

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Revision notes, worked examples and methods for sampling and interpreting data.

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Revise the key ideas

Populations, samples and data types

  • A population is the complete group being studied. A sample is a smaller group selected to investigate it. A census measures every member, which can be costly or impractical.
  • Discrete numerical data are counted, such as numbers of siblings. Continuous numerical data are measured, such as height. Categorical data describe groups, such as a travel method.
  • A sample should represent the population relevant to the question. Asking only one friendship group about a whole school's preferences risks bias.
  • Random sampling gives each population member an equal chance in a simple random selection. Use a complete sampling frame and random numbers; avoid duplicate selections if sampling without replacement.
  • Systematic sampling takes every kth member after a random start. Check that a repeating pattern in the list does not bias the chosen sample.
  • Questionnaires should use clear wording and non-overlapping response categories that cover possible answers. Avoid leading questions such as “Don't you agree that…?”.

Evaluating evidence

  • A larger representative sample usually reduces random sampling variation, but size alone cannot remove selection bias. Ten thousand volunteers may still be unrepresentative.
  • Non-response can bias results if people who respond differ from those who do not. State the population, sample size, method and missing responses when interpreting a survey.
  • Use statistics to describe distributions rather than claiming every individual has the average value. A mean of 2.4 siblings is possible even though no one has 2.4 siblings.
  • Compare both a measure of centre and spread, with context. A higher mean journey time and larger range suggest longer journeys on average and more variation.

Higher — proportional stratified sampling

  • Stratified sampling separates a population into groups, then samples in proportion to each group's size. Randomly select within each group to avoid bias.
    A proportional stratified sampleForty percent of three hundred students are Year Ten and sixty percent Year Eleven. A sample of fifty takes twenty and thirty respectively.Population 300 → sample 50Year 10: 12040% of populationYear 11: 18060% of population20 sampled30 sampled
    A proportional stratified sample
  • Worked example: A school has 120 Year 10 and 180 Year 11 students. For a proportional sample of 50, choose 50 × = 20 from Year 10 and 30 from Year 11.
  • For non-integer group allocations, round carefully so the sample total still matches the target. Explain how any remaining places are assigned.
  • Stratification improves representation of the chosen groups; it does not guarantee every relevant characteristic is represented or that answers are unbiased.

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Mind map

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M39 M39 mind map: Data / population, Collection, Evaluate, Stratify. A text version follows.
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Data / population

  • Groups: Population whole; sample part; census all
  • Kinds: Discrete counted; continuous measured; categorical groups

Collection

  • Random: Complete frame; random numbers; avoid unwanted duplicates
  • Systematic: Every kth after random start; watch repeating pattern
  • Questionnaire: Clear, unbiased wording; complete non-overlapping categories

Evaluate

  • Bias / size: Large sample alone cannot fix bias; consider non-response
  • Distribution: Mean not every individual's value; compare centre AND spread

Stratify

  • Proportions: Higher: Group/total × sample; choose randomly within each group
  • Allocation: Higher: Rounded allocations total correctly; other biases can remain

Connections

  • Data / population → Collection: Collection methods determine representation
  • Data / population → Evaluate: Centre and spread describe a distribution together